Arouca vs Nacional prediction | Primeira Liga

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UPCOMING

AROArouca#5 / 18

15:30

Nacional#15 / 18NAC

Primeira Liga·2026-11-01

BITFAX ANALYST V1DATA BASIS: very good

STRONGEST ANALYSIS

Over 4.5 yellow cards69%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Match result

Arouca to win50%

Draw25%

Nacional to win25%

Double chance 1X75%

Double chance 1275%

Double chance X250%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Goals

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Over 4.5 goals13%

Over 5.5 goals5%

Home clean sheet35%

Away clean sheet20%

Home win to nil28%

Away win to nil13%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Team goals

Home to score80%

Home over 1.5 goals48%

Home over 2.5 goals22%

Away to score65%

Away over 1.5 goals29%

Away over 2.5 goals9%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Half-time

Home leads at half-time37%

Level at half-time42%

Away leads at half-time21%

Half-time: double chance 1X79%

Half-time: double chance X263%

Home to score in first half51%

Away to score in first half38%

Over 0.5 goals in first half69%

Over 1.5 goals in first half33%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

First goal

Home scores first56%

Away scores first37%

No goal in the match7%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Corners

Home to have more corners49%

Equal corners11%

Away to have more corners40%

Home over 2.5 corners85%

Home over 3.5 corners72%

Home over 4.5 corners57%

Home over 5.5 corners42%

Home over 6.5 corners30%

Home over 7.5 corners20%

Away over 2.5 corners81%

Away over 3.5 corners66%

Away over 4.5 corners50%

Away over 5.5 corners35%

Away over 6.5 corners24%

Away over 7.5 corners15%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Cards

Over 3.5 yellow cards83%

Over 4.5 yellow cards69%

Over 5.5 yellow cards52%

Over 6.5 yellow cards36%

Home over 1.5 yellow cards78%

Home over 2.5 yellow cards54%

Home over 3.5 yellow cards32%

Away over 1.5 yellow cards79%

Away over 2.5 yellow cards57%

Away over 3.5 yellow cards34%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Likely scoresINFORMATION ONLY

This figure is shown as information. It is never highlighted as the strongest analysis.

Most likely score12%

Score in top 333%

Score in top 549%

LIKELY SCORES

1:1 12%1:0 11%2:1 9%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

EXPECTED LINEUPProbabilities, not a confirmed line-up.

Arouca

FukuiM85%

Martínez GonzálvezF85%

DjouahraM85%

Trezza HernándezM85%

de Sousa EsgaioD85%

van EeM85%

de Arruabarrena FernándezG85%

Sánchez de FelipeD78%

Fontán MondragónD78%

Zinoviyovych LebedenkoD55%

Gozálbez GilabertM47%

Further candidates (19)

LeeM39%

KuipersD32%

Flores LozanoM24%

PopovićD16%

Fayed Abdelwahab El RakhawyD16%

VinarčíkG8%

N'Dofunsu MayuluF8%

Mansilla IslasF8%

Carvalho SantosM8%

Pinheiro MonteiroD8%

Nandín BerruttiF8%

Martim DuarteG8%

Si-hoo ParkF8%

Climent PláD8%

SilvaD8%

G. RukavinaF8%

Rocha CalderónD8%

Santiago PérezM8%

DantéD8%

Nacional

dos Santos DiasM76%

Lima CardosoD76%

Rodrigues dos SantosD68%

de Melo Araujo JúniorM60%

Baeza PérezM60%

Bellucci MarinG60%

Messias CardozoF53%

Barros SoaresM53%

Wesley GasolinaD53%

Markus JensenM45%

Baptista GonçalvesD37%

Further candidates (28)

Liziero PereiraM37%

Mendes GomesD37%

LabidiM30%

KokoloD30%

Pereira da SilvaF30%

Ramírez DíazF30%

Pereira AzariasG30%

GavrielM22%

Núñez DuarteD22%

QuemboF22%

Daniel De la CruzD14%

DjalóM14%

Organista da SilvaM14%

Allen ObandoF14%

Coimbra AurélioD14%

Fonseca de SouzaF14%

Song Min-KyuM14%

Medeiros de FreitasG7%

Souza BritoM7%

Oliveira GonçalvesG7%

Silva Watts RodriguesM7%

Mateus IseppeM7%

D. DongmoM7%

dos Santos JoãoF7%

Mendes FernandesD7%

Fernando NavaF7%

Carreira SousaM7%

Mateus IseppeM7%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

WHO SCORES?

PLAYERPOSSTARTING XISCORESSCORES IF PLAYING

Martínez GonzálvezF85%28%31%

Trezza HernándezM85%17%19%

DjouahraM85%11%13%

Ramírez DíazF30%11%32%

LeeM39%8%17%

Fontán MondragónD78%8%10%

FukuiM85%7%8%

van EeM85%6%7%

Nandín BerruttiF8%6%8%

Gozálbez GilabertM47%6%7%

de Sousa EsgaioD85%6%7%

Lima CardosoD76%6%7%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

BITFAX Analyst V1 estimates probabilities, not certainties. An analysis given at 72 % is expected to occur in about 72 out of 100 comparable cases — and not in the other 28.Not included: injuries, suspensions, announced line-ups, managerial changes, weather and rotation intentions. BITFAX computes only from past results and match events.

BITFAX forecasts are statistical probability estimates based on the data available at the time of calculation. They are not a guarantee of the actual result. Historical results and model tests do not guarantee future results.

How well has BITFAX Analyst V1 done so far? → Live record

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