Record — BITFAX Analyst V1

Three figures measuring different things — which is why they stay apart. They are never added up.

LIVE RECORD · BITFAX ANALYST V1since 2026-08-12

MATCHES1,013evaluated

ANALYSES57,223issued before kick-off

CORRECT40.1%22,921 of 57,223

STRONGEST ANALYSES70.6%661 of 936

CALIBRATION

Do the numbers keep their promise? Each row groups all forecasts in one probability band and shows how often they came true. Bands below 50 % are not listed because they are expected to be rare — they remain part of the overall figure.

STATEDFORECASTSCAME TRUERATEPOSITION

50–59 %5,3022,71051.1%within band

60–69 %5,7193,67664.3%within band

70–79 %6,3424,62072.8%within band

80–89 %2,3351,93382.8%within band

90–99 %27325091.6%within band

The overall figure averages across all statement types, including those designed to be rare — the exact final score, for instance. It is therefore not a hit rate.

CATEGORYNHITSBARRATE

Match result6,0783,03950.0%

Corners per team9,9604,21742.3%

Corner comparison2,49083033.3%

Score3,03972323.8%

First goal2,9031,01334.9%

Half-time9,1084,52149.6%

Cards total3,3801,08732.2%

Cards per team5,0701,81635.8%

Team goals6,0782,79245.9%

Goals9,1172,88331.6%

Only analyses produced before kick-off by BITFAX Analyst V1 and settled afterwards.

BACKTEST · NOT A LIVE RECORDuntil 2024-05-11

Backtest on completed matches

MATCHES108,402recomputed

STATEMENTS6,009,061checked individually

PERIOD UNTIL2024-05-11completed matches

This is a validation, not a record. It says how the method behaved on past matches and is never combined with the live record.

BITFAX BETA / DEVELOPMENT PHASEnot part of V1 · until 2026-08-11

BITFAX beta / development phase

ANALYSES2,752previous method

CORRECT1,39350.6%

Earlier development versions using a different method. These forecasts are not part of the BITFAX Analyst V1 record and are never combined with it.

Archive What is BITFAX Analyst V1?

BITFAX forecasts are statistical probability estimates based on the data available at the time of calculation. They are not a guarantee of the actual result. Historical results and model tests do not guarantee future results.