Probabilities, not certainties. What they rest on — and where BITFAX stays silent — is set out below this list.
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DEVELOPMENT STATUS
The forecasts published here are produced by BITFAX Analyst V1. In parallel we are examining additional pre-match information such as absences, suspensions and confirmed line-ups. New factors are adopted only once they show demonstrable additional forecasting value.
WHAT IS THIS?
BITFAX Analyst V1 estimates probabilities, not certainties. An analysis given at 72 % is expected to occur in about 72 out of 100 comparable cases — and not in the other 28.
BITFAX Analyst V1 computes a set of probabilities for every upcoming match. Which statement groups these are, and what each one rests on, the analyst states itself — this page does not rephrase it.
For each match exactly one analysis is highlighted as the strongest. All others sit below it, grouped by category. Whatever the model cannot estimate reliably is not shown — there is no substitute value and no rounded guess.
Every analysis is produced before kick-off and checked automatically after full time. The record is public, misses included.
WHAT IT USES
Per statement group, the very same explanation that sits under the individual analysis:
Match result
A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.
Goals
A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.
Team goals
A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.
Half-time
A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.
First goal
A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.
Corners
A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.
Cards
A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.
Likely scores
A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.
Expected lineup
A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.
Who scores?
A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.
WHAT IT DOES NOT USE
None of this enters any number on this site. It is stated here so the numbers are read correctly.
Not included: injuries, suspensions, announced line-ups, managerial changes, weather and rotation intentions. BITFAX computes only from past results and match events.
There is no editorial judgement either. Nobody intervenes by hand.
WHERE IT STAYS SILENT
LIMITED DATA BASIS
If essential data is missing, no strongest analysis is highlighted. The page says so explicitly.
INFORMATION ONLY
Some figures — the most likely score for instance — are well calibrated but barely distinguish between matches. They are shown as information and never highlighted.
NO SUBSTITUTE
If the computation fails, the slot stays empty. There is no silent fallback to another method.
BITFAX forecasts are statistical probability estimates based on the data available at the time of calculation. They are not a guarantee of the actual result. Historical results and model tests do not guarantee future results.