Burnley vs Derby prediction | Championship

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UPCOMING

BURBurnley#23 / 24

14:00

Derby#22 / 24DER

Championship·2026-09-19·Turf Moor

BITFAX ANALYST V1DATA BASIS: very good

STRONGEST ANALYSIS

Double chance 1X80%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Match result

Home win56%

Draw24%

Away win20%

Double chance 1X80%

Double chance 1276%

Double chance X244%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Goals

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals47%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Over 4.5 goals12%

Over 5.5 goals5%

Home clean sheet41%

Away clean sheet19%

Home win to nil34%

Away win to nil11%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Team goals

Home to score81%

Home over 1.5 goals50%

Home over 2.5 goals23%

Away to score59%

Away over 1.5 goals22%

Away over 2.5 goals6%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Half-time

Home leads at half-time40%

Level at half-time43%

Away leads at half-time17%

Half-time: double chance 1X83%

Half-time: double chance X260%

Home to score in first half51%

Away to score in first half32%

Over 0.5 goals in first half67%

Over 1.5 goals in first half30%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

First goal

Home scores first60%

Away scores first32%

No goal in the match8%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Corners

Home to have more corners46%

Equal corners11%

Away to have more corners43%

Home over 2.5 corners82%

Home over 3.5 corners68%

Home over 4.5 corners52%

Home over 5.5 corners37%

Home over 6.5 corners25%

Home over 7.5 corners16%

Away over 2.5 corners81%

Away over 3.5 corners66%

Away over 4.5 corners50%

Away over 5.5 corners36%

Away over 6.5 corners24%

Away over 7.5 corners15%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Cards

Over 3.5 yellow cards64%

Over 4.5 yellow cards44%

Over 5.5 yellow cards28%

Over 6.5 yellow cards15%

Home over 1.5 yellow cards61%

Home over 2.5 yellow cards34%

Home over 3.5 yellow cards15%

Away over 1.5 yellow cards68%

Away over 2.5 yellow cards41%

Away over 3.5 yellow cards21%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Likely scoresINFORMATION ONLY

This figure is shown as information. It is never highlighted as the strongest analysis.

Most likely score13%

Score in top 335%

Score in top 553%

LIKELY SCORES

1:0 13%1:1 11%2:0 11%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

EXPECTED LINEUPProbabilities, not a confirmed line-up.

Burnley

WalkerD83%

WeißG68%

FlemmingF60%

Hunt-LaurentM52%

MejbriM52%

HumphreysD45%

AlleyneM45%

RamseyM45%

AnthonyM45%

TchaounaM45%

EstèveD37%

Further candidates (30)

SonneD37%

Pires SilvaD29%

Bruun LarsenF29%

EkdalD29%

RaghouberM29%

Morris LuísM29%

UgochukwuM29%

TuanzebeD29%

EdwardsF22%

C. RobertsD22%

Ward-ProwseM22%

DúbravkaG22%

HartmanD22%

RamazaniM22%

AmdouniF14%

BrojaF14%

AhmedhodžićD14%

HountondjiF14%

D. SatpaevM14%

dos Santos de PauloD14%

HatateM14%

WorrallD6%

CoudertG6%

Trésor NdayishimiyeF6%

L. CastellF6%

SamboD6%

FosterF6%

E. ClarkM6%

AmosG6%

BarnesF6%

Derby

Widell ZetterströmG77%

Klingen LangåsD69%

SandersonD69%

SzmodicsF69%

TravisM69%

MorrisF61%

WardM54%

ClarkM46%

OzohM46%

Barkell ClarkeD46%

TaylorD46%

Further candidates (23)

JohnstonD38%

FrauloM38%

BanelM38%

MowattM38%

Brereton DíazM38%

HedgesM31%

ForsythD23%

Blackett-TaylorF23%

MurkinD23%

SalvesenF15%

NyambeD15%

BrewsterM15%

Wendel MeisterF15%

FuseiniM15%

O'DonnellG15%

CashinD15%

VickersG7%

EamesM7%

C. Allen7%

BatthD7%

BilbijaM7%

GordonD7%

Raymond OfforD7%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

WHO SCORES?

PLAYERPOSSTARTING XISCORESSCORES IF PLAYING

FlemmingF60%22%33%

SzmodicsF69%18%22%

MorrisF61%17%26%

RamseyM45%13%26%

AmdouniF14%13%16%

AnthonyM45%11%23%

RamazaniM22%8%30%

Bruun LarsenF29%8%12%

EdwardsF22%8%15%

BanelM38%7%14%

Brereton DíazM38%7%16%

Hunt-LaurentM52%6%7%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

BITFAX Analyst V1 estimates probabilities, not certainties. An analysis given at 72 % is expected to occur in about 72 out of 100 comparable cases — and not in the other 28.Not included: injuries, suspensions, announced line-ups, managerial changes, weather and rotation intentions. BITFAX computes only from past results and match events.

BITFAX forecasts are statistical probability estimates based on the data available at the time of calculation. They are not a guarantee of the actual result. Historical results and model tests do not guarantee future results.

How well has BITFAX Analyst V1 done so far? → Live record

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