Derby vs Birmingham prediction | Championship

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DERDerby#22 / 24

11:30

Birmingham#14 / 24BIR

Championship·2026-09-12·Pride Park

BITFAX ANALYST V1DATA BASIS: very good

STRONGEST ANALYSIS

Home to score74%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Match result

Home win43%

Draw27%

Away win30%

Double chance 1X70%

Double chance 1273%

Double chance X257%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Goals

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals44%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Over 4.5 goals10%

Over 5.5 goals4%

Home clean sheet34%

Away clean sheet26%

Home win to nil25%

Away win to nil17%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Team goals

Home to score74%

Home over 1.5 goals39%

Home over 2.5 goals15%

Away to score66%

Away over 1.5 goals29%

Away over 2.5 goals10%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Half-time

Home leads at half-time31%

Level at half-time45%

Away leads at half-time24%

Half-time: double chance 1X76%

Half-time: double chance X269%

Home to score in first half44%

Away to score in first half37%

Over 0.5 goals in first half65%

Over 1.5 goals in first half28%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

First goal

Home scores first51%

Away scores first41%

No goal in the match9%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Corners

Home to have more corners54%

Equal corners11%

Away to have more corners35%

Home over 2.5 corners85%

Home over 3.5 corners72%

Home over 4.5 corners57%

Home over 5.5 corners43%

Home over 6.5 corners30%

Home over 7.5 corners20%

Away over 2.5 corners77%

Away over 3.5 corners60%

Away over 4.5 corners43%

Away over 5.5 corners29%

Away over 6.5 corners18%

Away over 7.5 corners11%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Cards

Over 3.5 yellow cards65%

Over 4.5 yellow cards46%

Over 5.5 yellow cards29%

Over 6.5 yellow cards16%

Home over 1.5 yellow cards61%

Home over 2.5 yellow cards34%

Home over 3.5 yellow cards15%

Away over 1.5 yellow cards69%

Away over 2.5 yellow cards42%

Away over 3.5 yellow cards22%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Likely scoresINFORMATION ONLY

This figure is shown as information. It is never highlighted as the strongest analysis.

Most likely score13%

Score in top 334%

Score in top 552%

LIKELY SCORES

1:1 13%1:0 12%0:1 10%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

EXPECTED LINEUPProbabilities, not a confirmed line-up.

Derby

Widell ZetterströmG77%

Klingen LangåsD69%

SzmodicsF69%

SandersonD69%

TravisM69%

MorrisF61%

WardM54%

OzohM46%

ClarkM46%

Barkell ClarkeD46%

TaylorD46%

Further candidates (23)

JohnstonD38%

FrauloM38%

MowattM38%

BanelM38%

Brereton DíazM38%

HedgesM31%

ForsythD23%

Blackett-TaylorF23%

MurkinD23%

SalvesenF15%

NyambeD15%

BrewsterM15%

FuseiniM15%

Wendel MeisterF15%

O'DonnellG15%

CashinD15%

VickersG7%

EamesM7%

BatthD7%

C. Allen7%

GordonD7%

BilbijaM7%

Raymond OfforD7%

Birmingham

Giles BeadleG85%

StansfieldM85%

NeumannD85%

Priske FlygerF85%

KlarerD85%

Osayi-SamuelD78%

Vicente RoblesM78%

IwataM78%

Solis RomeroM62%

PaikM55%

WagnerD47%

Further candidates (19)

CochraneD39%

OsmanM39%

GrayF24%

MillarM24%

LairdD16%

RobertsM16%

Lund HansenD16%

AllsopG8%

DuckschF8%

FujimotoM8%

VázquezF8%

DoyleM8%

FryD8%

RobinsonD8%

PanzoD8%

BirdM8%

WrightF8%

BuchananD8%

MayoG8%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

WHO SCORES?

PLAYERPOSSTARTING XISCORESSCORES IF PLAYING

SzmodicsF69%26%32%

MorrisF61%24%37%

StansfieldM85%14%16%

Vicente RoblesM78%13%15%

BanelM38%10%21%

Brereton DíazM38%10%24%

Priske FlygerF85%8%9%

SalvesenF15%6%8%

FrauloM38%5%7%

Klingen LangåsD69%5%6%

IwataM78%5%5%

FuseiniM15%5%18%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

BITFAX Analyst V1 estimates probabilities, not certainties. An analysis given at 72 % is expected to occur in about 72 out of 100 comparable cases — and not in the other 28.Not included: injuries, suspensions, announced line-ups, managerial changes, weather and rotation intentions. BITFAX computes only from past results and match events.

BITFAX forecasts are statistical probability estimates based on the data available at the time of calculation. They are not a guarantee of the actual result. Historical results and model tests do not guarantee future results.

How well has BITFAX Analyst V1 done so far? → Live record

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