Ajax vs Excelsior prediction | Eredivisie

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UPCOMING

AJAAjax#8 / 18

18:00

Excelsior#4 / 18EXC

Eredivisie·2026-09-19·Johan Cruijff Arena

BITFAX ANALYST V1DATA BASIS: very good

STRONGEST ANALYSIS

Home to have more corners90%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Match result

Home win69%

Draw17%

Away win14%

Double chance 1X86%

Double chance 1283%

Double chance X231%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Goals

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals70%

Over 3.5 goals48%

Over 4.5 goals29%

Over 5.5 goals15%

Home clean sheet35%

Away clean sheet8%

Home win to nil32%

Away win to nil5%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Team goals

Home to score92%

Home over 1.5 goals72%

Home over 2.5 goals46%

Away to score65%

Away over 1.5 goals29%

Away over 2.5 goals9%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Half-time

Home leads at half-time51%

Level at half-time33%

Away leads at half-time15%

Half-time: double chance 1X85%

Half-time: double chance X249%

Home to score in first half66%

Away to score in first half37%

Over 0.5 goals in first half79%

Over 1.5 goals in first half46%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

First goal

Home scores first69%

Away scores first29%

No goal in the match3%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Corners

Home to have more corners90%

Equal corners4%

Away to have more corners6%

Home over 2.5 corners97%

Home over 3.5 corners93%

Home over 4.5 corners86%

Home over 5.5 corners78%

Home over 6.5 corners68%

Home over 7.5 corners57%

Away over 2.5 corners52%

Away over 3.5 corners32%

Away over 4.5 corners18%

Away over 5.5 corners9%

Away over 6.5 corners4%

Away over 7.5 corners2%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Cards

Over 3.5 yellow cards56%

Over 4.5 yellow cards36%

Over 5.5 yellow cards21%

Over 6.5 yellow cards10%

Home over 1.5 yellow cards55%

Home over 2.5 yellow cards28%

Home over 3.5 yellow cards12%

Away over 1.5 yellow cards62%

Away over 2.5 yellow cards35%

Away over 3.5 yellow cards16%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Likely scoresINFORMATION ONLY

This figure is shown as information. It is never highlighted as the strongest analysis.

Most likely score9%

Score in top 326%

Score in top 541%

LIKELY SCORES

2:1 9%2:0 9%3:1 8%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

EXPECTED LINEUPProbabilities, not a confirmed line-up.

Ajax

BouwmanD85%

KlaassenM77%

BerghuisF77%

GloukhF69%

RegeerM69%

Oliveira SilvaD54%

ter StegenG54%

Dolberg RasmussenF46%

GaaeiD46%

BaasD46%

Oliveira RosaD46%

Further candidates (22)

BrandtM46%

WijndalD38%

PaesG38%

BlindD38%

MokioM31%

A. OuazaneM31%

ArokodareF31%

GodtsF31%

Marcos LeonardoF23%

EdvardsenF15%

JanseD15%

CarrizoF15%

HeerkensG8%

Mohamed AbdallaM8%

Torrents SalvatD8%

Christoffel Annum-Assamoah KonF8%

Peters ReversonG8%

ItakuraD8%

AmrabatM8%

TsygankovF8%

KehrerD8%

ŠutaloD8%

Excelsior

HartjesM84%

van GasselG84%

YegoianM84%

MeissenD84%

WidellD76%

de RegtF53%

NaujoksM53%

David GardenF45%

SchoutenD45%

ZagréD45%

Sanches FernandesF45%

Further candidates (28)

PlugD45%

JanssenM38%

D. van VianenM30%

SlitiF30%

HanssonF30%

Ágúst Orri ThorsteinssonF30%

Ilano Silva TimasF22%

da Silva MoreiraM22%

BronkhorstD14%

van DuinenF14%

MartensD14%

CairoM7%

V. SulzbacherM7%

GroenF7%

CarlénM7%

BergraafF7%

Yaqub FineyM7%

WłodarczykF7%

RaatsieG7%

Osman TurayD7%

Celton BiaiG7%

Jahanbakhsh JirandehF7%

M. DominguezF7%

BosF7%

HenderikxD7%

TielemansM7%

HollaG7%

N. El HamdaouiM7%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

WHO SCORES?

PLAYERPOSSTARTING XISCORESSCORES IF PLAYING

BerghuisF77%34%42%

KlaassenM77%28%35%

GloukhF69%27%33%

Marcos LeonardoF23%26%32%

Dolberg RasmussenF46%25%44%

ArokodareF31%22%38%

BrandtM46%18%25%

GodtsF31%17%40%

EdvardsenF15%13%23%

MokioM31%13%15%

YegoianM84%12%14%

NaujoksM53%10%17%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

BITFAX Analyst V1 estimates probabilities, not certainties. An analysis given at 72 % is expected to occur in about 72 out of 100 comparable cases — and not in the other 28.Not included: injuries, suspensions, announced line-ups, managerial changes, weather and rotation intentions. BITFAX computes only from past results and match events.

BITFAX forecasts are statistical probability estimates based on the data available at the time of calculation. They are not a guarantee of the actual result. Historical results and model tests do not guarantee future results.

How well has BITFAX Analyst V1 done so far? → Live record

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