Nacional vs Alverca prediction | Primeira Liga

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UPCOMING

NACNacional#12 / 18

14:30

Alverca#17 / 18ALV

Primeira Liga·2026-09-12

BITFAX ANALYST V1DATA BASIS: very good

STRONGEST ANALYSIS

Over 4.5 yellow cards62%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Match result

Home win44%

Draw27%

Away win29%

Double chance 1X71%

Double chance 1273%

Double chance X256%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Goals

Over 1.5 goals69%

Over 2.5 goals43%

Over 3.5 goals22%

Over 4.5 goals9%

Over 5.5 goals3%

Home clean sheet36%

Away clean sheet26%

Home win to nil26%

Away win to nil17%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Team goals

Home to score74%

Home over 1.5 goals39%

Home over 2.5 goals15%

Away to score64%

Away over 1.5 goals28%

Away over 2.5 goals9%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Half-time

Home leads at half-time32%

Level at half-time45%

Away leads at half-time23%

Half-time: double chance 1X77%

Half-time: double chance X268%

Home to score in first half45%

Away to score in first half37%

Over 0.5 goals in first half65%

Over 1.5 goals in first half29%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

First goal

Home scores first51%

Away scores first39%

No goal in the match9%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Corners

Home to have more corners43%

Equal corners11%

Away to have more corners45%

Home over 2.5 corners81%

Home over 3.5 corners66%

Home over 4.5 corners50%

Home over 5.5 corners35%

Home over 6.5 corners23%

Home over 7.5 corners15%

Away over 2.5 corners82%

Away over 3.5 corners67%

Away over 4.5 corners52%

Away over 5.5 corners37%

Away over 6.5 corners25%

Away over 7.5 corners16%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Cards

Over 3.5 yellow cards78%

Over 4.5 yellow cards62%

Over 5.5 yellow cards45%

Over 6.5 yellow cards29%

Home over 1.5 yellow cards76%

Home over 2.5 yellow cards52%

Home over 3.5 yellow cards30%

Away over 1.5 yellow cards74%

Away over 2.5 yellow cards49%

Away over 3.5 yellow cards27%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

Likely scoresINFORMATION ONLY

This figure is shown as information. It is never highlighted as the strongest analysis.

Most likely score13%

Score in top 335%

Score in top 553%

LIKELY SCORES

1:1 13%1:0 12%0:1 10%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

EXPECTED LINEUPProbabilities, not a confirmed line-up.

Nacional

Rodrigues dos SantosD76%

Lima CardosoD76%

de Melo Araujo JúniorM68%

dos Santos DiasM68%

Barros SoaresM61%

Messias CardozoF45%

Liziero PereiraM45%

Ramírez DíazF45%

Baeza PérezM45%

Pereira da SilvaF45%

Pereira AzariasG45%

Further candidates (26)

Bellucci MarinG45%

Wesley GasolinaM45%

Mendes GomesD45%

Núñez DuarteD38%

Markus JensenM38%

Baptista GonçalvesD30%

LabidiM30%

Fonseca de SouzaF30%

QuemboF22%

KokoloM22%

Organista da SilvaM15%

Coimbra AurélioD15%

GavrielM15%

Medeiros de FreitasG7%

Silva Watts RodriguesM7%

Souza BritoM7%

Daniel De la CruzD7%

dos Santos JoãoF7%

Mateus IseppeM7%

Oliveira GonçalvesG7%

Allen ObandoF7%

DjalóF7%

Carreira SousaM7%

Fernando NavaF7%

D. DongmoM7%

Mendes FernandesD7%

Alverca

Figueiredo dos SantosF83%

Mendes Werneck de OliveiraG75%

Zoubdi TouaiziM75%

Tavares OliveiraF60%

BaseyaD52%

Meupiyou MenadjouD52%

James OgiriD52%

Gómez SolàD45%

Simião GomesM45%

Cordovil de LimaF45%

Marques NavesD45%

Further candidates (31)

Yaya BojangD45%

Ian LuccasM45%

Semedo Moura SousaF45%

Oliveira dos SantosM45%

GuiM37%

Marques de SouzaM29%

Spencer MarquesD21%

RodriguesM21%

JamesM21%

Oliveira MendesG14%

I. JulianD14%

Tamarit TamaritM14%

Cunha VidigalM14%

Z. KassaryM6%

NuozziF6%

da Silva MoreiraM6%

JhonatanG6%

Essimi AtebaF6%

S. J. MerhegF6%

MilovanovićF6%

DiarraF6%

de Souza GomesD6%

SoumareM6%

Ze RafaelM6%

Eusébio PauloG6%

ClairiciaF6%

Felipe Lima6%

Camara SankharéF6%

Garcia AndradeF6%

de Almeida LimaF6%

O. TorrellasD6%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

WHO SCORES?

PLAYERPOSSTARTING XISCORESSCORES IF PLAYING

Ramírez DíazF45%18%36%

Figueiredo dos SantosF83%13%14%

Cordovil de LimaF45%10%20%

Semedo Moura SousaF45%10%20%

Tavares OliveiraF60%10%15%

Lima CardosoD76%8%10%

Messias CardozoF45%7%8%

Fonseca de SouzaF30%6%14%

Pereira da SilvaF45%6%11%

Barros SoaresM61%6%7%

Wesley GasolinaM45%6%11%

Rodrigues dos SantosD76%5%7%

Why this analysis?

A detailed English explanation of the factors behind this category is not available yet. All figures come from past results and match events only; nothing else is used.

BITFAX Analyst V1 estimates probabilities, not certainties. An analysis given at 72 % is expected to occur in about 72 out of 100 comparable cases — and not in the other 28.Not included: injuries, suspensions, announced line-ups, managerial changes, weather and rotation intentions. BITFAX computes only from past results and match events.

BITFAX forecasts are statistical probability estimates based on the data available at the time of calculation. They are not a guarantee of the actual result. Historical results and model tests do not guarantee future results.

How well has BITFAX Analyst V1 done so far? → Live record

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